Ligue 3 badgeLigue 3 · 14 August 2026AI PICK

Aubagne badgeAubagnevsBastia badgeBastia

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
53.7%
Markets called
4 of 5 right
Final score
0 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

LowEdge -5.1%
Our model53.7%
The market58.8%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Aubagne badge

Aubagne

Attack41
Defence26
Form11
Bastia badge

Bastia

Attack55
Defence23
Form11

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model63.1%
The market66.7%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

Bastia (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.7%
The market58.8%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.8%Miss
Our model52.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Bastia Win

Correct
Our model31.6%
The market35.7%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
2.80

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Correct
Our model10.1%
The market11.6%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.60

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.1% · actual

1-1

14.7%

0-0

10.8%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.