Ligue 3 badgeLigue 3 · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Aubagne badgeAubagnevsBourg-en-bresse 01 badgeBourg-en-bresse 01

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.8%
Market said
58.1%
Edge
+4.7 pts
Best odds
1.66

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66

MediumEdge +4.7%
Our model62.8%
The market58.1%

The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Aubagne badge

Aubagne

Attack25
Defence33
Form7
Bourg-en-bresse 01 badge

Bourg-en-bresse 01

Attack34
Defence37
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.9%
The market76.9%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.7%Correct
Our model62.8%
The market58.1%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.66

Draw No Bet

Aubagne (DNB)

Edge +2.6%Correct
Our model60.1%
The market57.5%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.74

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model53.9%
The market52.0%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.86

Match Winner

Aubagne Win

Correct
Our model40.9%
The market45.0%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
2.22

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model14.0%
The market16.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
6.21

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.0%

2-0

5.5% · actual

2-1

4.4%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.