Aubagnevs
Thionville Lusitanos
0 - 3Correct
Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.7%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +8.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
MediumEdge +8.1%
Our model60.7%
The market52.6%
The market underrated this by 8.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
Edge +14.7%Correct
Our model73.5%
The market58.8%
- Edge
- +14.7
- Odds
- 1.70
Draw No Bet
Thionville Lusitanos (DNB)
Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- +12.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model60.7%
The market52.6%
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.90
Match Winner
Thionville Lusitanos Win
Edge +26.1%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market31.3%
- Edge
- +26.1
- Odds
- 3.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model55.4%
The market55.6%
- Edge
- -0.2
- Odds
- 1.80
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.