Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 8 July 2026AI PICK

Aucas badgeAucasvsGuayaquil City FC badgeGuayaquil City FC

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.1%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+2.5 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +2.5%
Our model55.1%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 2.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Aucas badge

Aucas

Attack56
Defence54
Form56
Guayaquil City FC badge

Guayaquil City FC

Attack43
Defence48
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model71.6%
The market89.3%
Edge
-17.7
Odds
1.12

Draw No Bet

Aucas (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model55.1%
The market52.6%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.3%
Edge
-5.3
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Aucas Win

Correct
Our model41.1%
The market66.7%
Edge
-25.6
Odds
1.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model12.7%
The market14.6%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.7% · actual

1-1

14.7%

0-0

12.8%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.