Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 16 July 2026AI PICK

Aucas badgeAucasvsIndependiente del Valle badgeIndependiente del Valle

0 - 3
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.5%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+14.5 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +14.5%
Our model64.5%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 14.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Aucas badge

Aucas

Attack58
Defence63
Form67
Independiente del Valle badge

Independiente del Valle

Attack100
Defence51
Form80

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model74.2%
The market73.5%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.5%Correct
Our model64.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+14.5
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model57.7%
The market57.8%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Independiente del Valle (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Independiente del Valle Win

Correct
Our model41.6%
The market41.7%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
2.40

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model9.2%
The market10.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.40

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.2%

1-1

9.1%

1-3

7.1%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.