Aucasvs
Manta FC
3 - 1Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 74.4%
- Market said
- 57.1%
- Edge
- +17.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 17.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Aucas
Manta FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -6.6
- Odds
- 1.08
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +17.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Aucas Win
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.36
Draw No Bet
Aucas (DNB)
- Edge
- +13.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +8.0
- Odds
- 2.38
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +3.7
- Odds
- 4.11
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
28.0%
0-0
21.1%
2-0
16.1%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.