Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Aucas badgeAucasvsUniversidad Catolica badgeUniversidad Catolica

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.8%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+8.7 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +8.7%
Our model62.8%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 8.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Aucas badge

Aucas

Attack52
Defence60
Form52
Universidad Catolica badge

Universidad Catolica

Attack80
Defence65
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.7%Close
Our model62.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.1%Correct
Our model58.9%
The market57.8%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Aucas Win

Correct
Our model49.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Aucas (DNB)

Correct
Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.5%
Our model11.5%
The market10.0%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
10.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.5%

1-1

9.9%

1-2

9.3%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.