A-League badgeA-League · 2 May 2026AI PICK

Auckland badgeAucklandvsMelbourne City badgeMelbourne City

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.7%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+12.4 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +12.4%
Our model63.7%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 12.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Auckland badge

Auckland

Attack61
Defence60
Form47
Melbourne City badge

Melbourne City

Attack50
Defence59
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.4%Close
Our model63.7%
The market51.3%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.9%Correct
Our model63.5%
The market55.6%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Auckland (DNB)

Void
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Auckland Win

Miss
Our model44.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.