Aucklandvs
Sydney
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 56.0%
- Market said
- 48.8%
- Edge
- +7.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.05
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectAuckland Win
Match Winner · best price 2.05
The market underrated this by 7.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Auckland
Sydney
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Draw No Bet
Auckland (DNB)
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Auckland Win
- Edge
- +7.2
- Odds
- 2.05
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -2.2
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -7.9
- Odds
- 1.67
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.21
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
12.5% · actual
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.