A-League badgeA-League · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Auckland badgeAucklandvsSydney badgeSydney

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.0%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+7.2 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Auckland Win

Match Winner · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +7.2%
Our model56.0%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 7.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Auckland badge

Auckland

Attack63
Defence67
Form50
Sydney badge

Sydney

Attack33
Defence83
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Auckland (DNB)

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model63.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Auckland Win

Edge +7.2%Correct
Our model56.0%
The market48.8%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
2.05

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model54.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market59.9%
Edge
-7.9
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.21

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.5% · actual

2-0

11.0%

2-1

9.9%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.