Major League Soccer · 23 August 2026AI PICK
Austinvs
Philadelphia Union
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 58.0%
- Edge
- +1.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.70
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70
The market underrated this by 1.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Austin
Philadelphia Union
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -3.4
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 1.70
Draw No Bet
Philadelphia Union (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.3
- Odds
- 1.54
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -9.4
- Odds
- 1.62
Match Winner
Philadelphia Union Win
- Edge
- -3.2
- Odds
- 2.20
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.67
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.0%
1-1
11.3% · actual
2-1
7.5%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.