Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Austin badgeAustinvsSt. Louis City badgeSt. Louis City

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.0%
Market said
48.1%
Edge
+8.9 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

MediumEdge +8.9%
Our model57.0%
The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 8.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Austin badge

Austin

Attack35
Defence43
Form24
St. Louis City badge

St. Louis City

Attack36
Defence51
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.9%Correct
Our model57.0%
The market48.1%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
2.08

Match Winner

Austin Win

Edge +5.3%Correct
Our model55.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model55.0%
The market61.7%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Austin (DNB)

Correct
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.