World Cup · 3 July 2026AI PICK

AustraliavsEgypt

1 - 1

Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 57.0%
Market said: 44.5%
Edge: +12.5 pts
Best odds: 2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +12.5%

Our model57.0%

The market44.5%

The market underrated this by 12.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Australia

Attack58

Defence100

Form64

Egypt

Attack55

Defence100

Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +1.3%

Our model68.0%

The market66.7%

Edge: +1.3
Odds: 1.50

Draw No Bet

Australia (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Void

Our model59.8%

The market57.1%

Edge: +2.7
Odds: 1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.5%Correct

Our model57.0%

The market44.5%

Edge: +12.5
Odds: 2.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +20.4%Close

Our model55.1%

The market34.7%

Edge: +20.4
Odds: 2.75

Match Winner

Australia Win

Edge +5.6%Miss

Our model36.4%

The market30.8%

Edge: +5.6
Odds: 3.25

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Our model8.7%

The market10.0%

Edge: -1.3
Odds: 10.01

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

10.9% · actual

1-2

7.7%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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