Bundesliga badgeBundesliga · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Austria Lustenau badgeAustria LustenauvsRied badgeRied

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
47.2%
Edge
+10.2 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +10.2%
Our model57.4%
The market47.2%

The market underrated this by 10.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Austria Lustenau badge

Austria Lustenau

Attack42
Defence75
Form50
Ried badge

Ried

Attack73
Defence41
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model74.8%
The market66.7%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.50

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.2%Close
Our model57.4%
The market47.2%
Edge
+10.2
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model57.2%
The market54.5%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Ried (DNB)

Void
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ried Win

Edge +13.7%Miss
Our model52.9%
The market39.2%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
2.55

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.3%
The market10.7%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.3%

1-1

9.6% · actual

1-3

6.8%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.