Cup badgeCup · 25 August 2026AI PICK

Avangard Kursk badgeAvangard KurskvsKaluga badgeKaluga

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+1.6 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +1.6%
Our model59.4%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 1.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Avangard Kursk badge

Avangard Kursk

Attack52
Defence52
Form45
Kaluga badge

Kaluga

Attack50
Defence64
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model78.2%
The market78.7%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.6%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market57.8%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Kaluga (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.9%
The market58.5%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
1.71

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market63.7%
Edge
-11.0
Odds
1.57

Match Winner

Kaluga Win

Correct
Our model42.9%
The market45.7%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
2.19

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

11.8%

1-2

7.8% · actual

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.