Avangard Kurskvs
Kaluga
1 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +1.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 1.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Avangard Kursk
Kaluga
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.5
- Odds
- 1.27
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 1.73
Draw No Bet
Kaluga (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.6
- Odds
- 1.71
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -11.0
- Odds
- 1.57
Match Winner
Kaluga Win
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 2.19
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
7.8% · actual
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.