J1 League badgeJ1 League · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Avispa Fukuoka badgeAvispa FukuokavsMito Hollyhock badgeMito Hollyhock

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
45.0%
Edge
+16.2 pts
Best odds
2.22

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.22

MediumEdge +16.2%
Our model61.2%
The market45.0%

The market underrated this by 16.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Avispa Fukuoka badge

Avispa Fukuoka

Attack49
Defence51
Form25
Mito Hollyhock badge

Mito Hollyhock

Attack49
Defence61
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model67.8%
The market78.7%
Edge
-10.9
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.2%Close
Our model61.2%
The market45.0%
Edge
+16.2
Odds
2.22

Draw No Bet

Avispa Fukuoka (DNB)

Void
Our model57.3%
The market64.9%
Edge
-7.6
Odds
1.54

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market52.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.92

Match Winner

Avispa Fukuoka Win

Miss
Our model43.2%
The market48.8%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

11.8% · actual

1-2

7.8%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.