Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 10 May 2026AI PICK

AVS badgeAVSvsFC Porto badgeFC Porto

3 - 1

Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
74.8%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+24.8 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

FC Porto Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

High confidenceEdge +24.8%
Our model74.8%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 24.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

AVS badge

AVS

Attack34
Defence43
Form31
FC Porto badge

FC Porto

Attack62
Defence84
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market90.9%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
1.10

Match Winner

FC Porto Win

Edge +24.8%
Our model74.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+24.8
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model62.6%
The market67.6%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.48

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.1%Correct
Our model56.7%
The market47.6%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

FC Porto (DNB)

Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.7%
Our model13.1%
The market11.4%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.1%

1-1

9.7%

0-2

9.7%

We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.