Ayr Utdvs
Arbroath
2 - 0Miss
Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 78.6%
- Market said
- 49.2%
- Edge
- +29.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00
High confidenceEdge +29.4%
Our model78.6%
The market49.2%
The market underrated this by 29.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +29.4%Miss
Our model78.6%
The market49.2%
- Edge
- +29.4
- Odds
- 2.00
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
Edge +1.3%
Our model74.8%
The market73.5%
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 1.36
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +14.4%Close
Our model55.2%
The market40.8%
- Edge
- +14.4
- Odds
- 2.35
Draw No Bet
Ayr Utd (DNB)
Correct
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -3.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Ayr Utd Win
Edge +7.8%Correct
Our model49.5%
The market41.7%
- Edge
- +7.8
- Odds
- 2.40
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.