Eredivisie badgeEredivisie · 17 May 2026AI PICK

AZ Alkmaar badgeAZ AlkmaarvsNAC Breda badgeNAC Breda

3 - 3
Miss

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
AZ Alkmaar Win
Model confidence
68.5%
Markets called
2 of 3 right
Final score
3 - 3

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

AZ Alkmaar Win

Match Winner · best price 1.36

MediumEdge -5.0%
Our model68.5%
The market73.5%

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

AZ Alkmaar badge

AZ Alkmaar

Attack59
Defence66
Form56
NAC Breda badge

NAC Breda

Attack34
Defence41
Form31

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market85.5%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.17

Match Winner

AZ Alkmaar Win

Miss
Our model68.5%
The market73.5%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model68.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

AZ Alkmaar (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Void
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model60.4%
The market63.7%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
1.57

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.0%
The market8.7%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.53

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.0%

2-1

9.9%

2-0

9.0%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.