Eredivisie badgeEredivisie · 3 May 2026AI PICK

AZ Alkmaar badgeAZ AlkmaarvsTwente badgeTwente

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
77.7%
Market said
71.4%
Edge
+6.3 pts
Best odds
1.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40

High confidenceEdge +6.3%
Our model77.7%
The market71.4%

The market underrated this by 6.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

AZ Alkmaar badge

AZ Alkmaar

Attack67
Defence74
Form64
Twente badge

Twente

Attack61
Defence92
Form74

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model77.7%
The market71.4%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model70.2%
The market71.4%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

AZ Alkmaar Win

Edge +4.0%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

AZ Alkmaar (DNB)

Void
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.