Serie D badgeSerie D · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Azuriz badgeAzurizvsBlumenau badgeBlumenau

2 - 4
Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
77.3%
Market said
69.4%
Edge
+7.9 pts
Best odds
1.44

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

High confidenceEdge +7.9%
Our model77.3%
The market69.4%

The market underrated this by 7.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Azuriz badge

Azuriz

Attack24
Defence57
Form33
Blumenau badge

Blumenau

Attack55
Defence100
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.9%Miss
Our model77.3%
The market69.4%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Blumenau (DNB)

Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model41.8%
The market44.4%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
2.25

Match Winner

Blumenau Win

Our model31.2%
The market40.0%
Edge
-8.8
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.8%Miss
Our model21.2%
The market18.4%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
5.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

21.2%

0-0

13.2%

0-2

12.6%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.