Copa Federacion badgeCopa Federacion · 9 September 2026AI PICK

Badalona II badgeBadalona IIvsSestao River badgeSestao River

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.8%
Market said
56.8%
Edge
+3.0 pts
Best odds
1.76

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.76

MediumEdge +3.0%
Our model59.8%
The market56.8%

The market underrated this by 3.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Badalona II badge

Badalona II

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Sestao River badge

Sestao River

Attack17
Defence75
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model83.1%
The market79.4%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.26

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model59.8%
The market56.8%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.76

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +5.7%Miss
Our model58.1%
The market52.4%
Edge
+5.7
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Sestao River (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.6%
The market63.3%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
1.58

Match Winner

Sestao River Win

Correct
Our model46.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model19.0%
The market21.8%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
4.58

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

19.0%

2-0

15.2%

0-0

14.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.