Bahiavs
Botafogo
2 - 1Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 65.6%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +10.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 10.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Bahia
Botafogo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.0
- Odds
- 1.80
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.7
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Bahia Win
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
Bahia (DNB)
- Edge
- -11.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 12.73
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.0%
1-1
8.1%
0-1
7.8%
We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.