Serie A · 17 July 2026AI PICK
Bahiavs
Chapecoense-sc
2 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.7%
- Market said
- 54.2%
- Edge
- +3.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91
The market underrated this by 3.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -16.7
- Odds
- 1.10
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.5
- Odds
- 1.91
Draw No Bet
Bahia (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -4.9
- Odds
- 1.57
Match Winner
Bahia Win
- Edge
- -30.7
- Odds
- 1.38
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.28
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
7.2% · actual
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.