Serie A badgeSerie A · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Bahia badgeBahiavsCorinthians badgeCorinthians

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
48.3%
Edge
+7.2 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +7.2%
Our model55.5%
The market48.3%

The market underrated this by 7.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Bahia badge

Bahia

Attack56
Defence40
Form36
Corinthians badge

Corinthians

Attack46
Defence71
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Bahia (DNB)

Void
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.2%Close
Our model55.5%
The market48.3%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.2%
The market54.3%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Bahia Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market47.6%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4%

1-1

13.2% · actual

1-0

8.2%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.