Serie A badgeSerie A · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Bahia badgeBahiavsSantos badgeSantos

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.6%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+14.3 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +14.3%
Our model65.6%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 14.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Bahia badge

Bahia

Attack68
Defence48
Form59
Santos badge

Santos

Attack58
Defence52
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.3%Correct
Our model65.6%
The market51.3%
Edge
+14.3
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.0%Correct
Our model64.6%
The market55.6%
Edge
+9.0
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Bahia Win

Edge +5.4%Miss
Our model55.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Bahia (DNB)

Void
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.