UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 16 July 2026AI PICK

Ballkani badgeBallkanivsGAP Connah S Quay FC badgeGAP Connah S Quay FC

3 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
96.6%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+51.1 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

High confidenceEdge +51.1%
Our model96.6%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 51.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Ballkani badge

Ballkani

Attack13
Defence47
Form27
GAP Connah S Quay FC badge

GAP Connah S Quay FC

Attack11
Defence100
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +51.1%Miss
Our model96.6%
The market45.5%
Edge
+51.1
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +23.3%Miss
Our model90.0%
The market66.7%
Edge
+23.3
Odds
1.50

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.9%
The market96.2%
Edge
-21.3
Odds
1.04

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model50.4%
The market58.1%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
1.72

Match Winner

Draw

Edge +25.8%Miss
Our model41.8%
The market16.0%
Edge
+25.8
Odds
6.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

50.4%

1-0

19.1%

0-1

14.1%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.