Ballkanivs
GAP Connah S Quay FC
3 - 2Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 96.6%
- Market said
- 45.5%
- Edge
- +51.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 51.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Ballkani
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +51.1
- Odds
- 2.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +23.3
- Odds
- 1.50
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -21.3
- Odds
- 1.04
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- -7.7
- Odds
- 1.72
Match Winner
Draw
- Edge
- +25.8
- Odds
- 6.25
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
50.4%
1-0
19.1%
0-1
14.1%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.