Premier League badgePremier League · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Baltika badgeBaltikavsLokomotiv badgeLokomotiv

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
46.1%
Edge
+12.5 pts
Best odds
2.12

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.12

MediumEdge +12.5%
Our model58.6%
The market46.1%

The market underrated this by 12.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Baltika badge

Baltika

Attack75
Defence100
Form67
Lokomotiv badge

Lokomotiv

Attack61
Defence75
Form46

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +1.6%
Our model73.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Baltika (DNB)

Edge +7.6%Miss
Our model65.7%
The market58.1%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.72

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.5%Miss
Our model58.6%
The market46.1%
Edge
+12.5
Odds
2.12

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.3%
The market53.7%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
1.79

Match Winner

Baltika Win

Edge +8.9%Miss
Our model51.8%
The market42.9%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
2.33

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.3%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.3%

1-1

8.2%

2-2

7.1%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.