Premier League badgePremier League · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Baltika badgeBaltikavsSpartak Moscow badgeSpartak Moscow

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+12.9 pts
Best odds
2.16

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.16

MediumEdge +12.9%
Our model58.4%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 12.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Baltika badge

Baltika

Attack72
Defence100
Form71
Spartak Moscow badge

Spartak Moscow

Attack74
Defence73
Form74

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model72.1%
The market74.1%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
1.35

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market45.5%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
2.16

Draw No Bet

Baltika (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.8%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market51.4%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
1.87

Match Winner

Baltika Win

Edge +19.4%Miss
Our model42.3%
The market22.9%
Edge
+19.4
Odds
4.36

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.