Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 23 May 2026AI PICK
Barakaldovs
Celta de Vigo II
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 64.2%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +14.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 14.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Barakaldo
Celta de Vigo II
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +14.2
- Odds
- 2.00
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.9
- Odds
- 2.05
Draw No Bet
Barakaldo (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Barakaldo Win
- Edge
- -13.4
- Odds
- 1.73
Correct Score
Score: 1-1
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.49
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-1
8.5% · actual
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.