Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 25 April 2026AI PICK
Barakaldovs
Lugo
3 - 0Close
Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 59.6%
- Markets called
- 3 of 5 right, 1 close
- Final score
- 3 - 0
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60
MediumEdge -2.9%
Our model59.6%
The market62.5%
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Barakaldo
Attack48
Defence64
Form56
Lugo
Attack45
Defence45
Form44
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
Close
Our model59.6%
The market62.5%
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 1.60
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +3.8%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- +3.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Barakaldo (DNB)
Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Barakaldo Win
Correct
Our model48.0%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- -2.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.