Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9 May 2026AI PICK
Barakaldovs
Mérida AD
2 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 57.1%
- Edge
- +4.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 4.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Barakaldo
Mérida AD
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.2
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Barakaldo Win
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 1.91
Draw No Bet
Barakaldo (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 8.20
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
14.0%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.2%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.