Barcelonavs
Athletic Club
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.9%
- Market said
- 64.3%
- Edge
- +9.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.46
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.46
The market underrated this by 9.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Barcelona
Athletic Club
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.20
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.6
- Odds
- 1.46
Draw No Bet
Barcelona (DNB)
- Edge
- -24.5
- Odds
- 1.18
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -4.5
- Odds
- 1.71
Match Winner
Barcelona Win
- Edge
- -20.4
- Odds
- 1.42
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.