Tweede Divisie badgeTweede Divisie · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Barendrecht badgeBarendrechtvsExcelsior Maassluis badgeExcelsior Maassluis

1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.7%
Market said
40.8%
Edge
+28.9 pts
Best odds
2.45

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Barendrecht Win

Match Winner · best price 2.45

MediumEdge +28.9%
Our model69.7%
The market40.8%

The market underrated this by 28.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Barendrecht badge

Barendrecht

Attack59
Defence34
Form44
Excelsior Maassluis badge

Excelsior Maassluis

Attack33
Defence47
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Match Winner

Barendrecht Win

Edge +28.9%Miss
Our model69.7%
The market40.8%
Edge
+28.9
Odds
2.45

Draw No Bet

Barendrecht (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model61.4%
The market71.4%
Edge
-10.0
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model60.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.0%
The market8.7%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.53

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.0%

2-1

9.9%

2-0

9.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.