Serie C badgeSerie C · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Barra badgeBarravsCaxias badgeCaxias

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
66.6%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+16.6 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Barra Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +16.6%
Our model66.6%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 16.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Barra badge

Barra

Attack59
Defence97
Form56
Caxias badge

Caxias

Attack29
Defence87
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Match Winner

Barra Win

Edge +16.6%Miss
Our model66.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+16.6
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model64.2%
The market73.5%
Edge
-9.3
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Barra (DNB)

Edge +6.9%Void
Our model64.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.5%Miss
Our model51.5%
The market42.0%
Edge
+9.5
Odds
2.38

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model13.1%
The market11.4%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.77

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.1%

2-0

11.0%

2-1

9.9%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.