Non League Div One - Northern Midlands badgeNon League Div One - Northern Midlands · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Basford United badgeBasford UnitedvsRugby Borough badgeRugby Borough

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.7%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+14.7 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Basford United Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +14.7%
Our model64.7%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 14.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Basford United badge

Basford United

Attack51
Defence47
Form53
Rugby Borough badge

Rugby Borough

Attack34
Defence74
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Basford United Win

Edge +14.7%Correct
Our model64.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+14.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Basford United (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.5%Close
Our model57.1%
The market52.6%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model49.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.