Bastiavs
Amiens
0 - 3Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 53.3%
- Edge
- +1.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.82
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.82
The market underrated this by 1.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Bastia
Amiens
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -13.3
- Odds
- 1.21
Draw No Bet
Bastia (DNB)
- Edge
- -6.4
- Odds
- 1.54
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 1.82
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 2.02
Match Winner
Bastia Win
- Edge
- -7.6
- Odds
- 1.97
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.76
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.9%
1-1
13.4%
1-2
7.7%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.