Premier League badgePremier League · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Bate Borisov badgeBate BorisovvsFC Vitebsk badgeFC Vitebsk

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
50.1%
Edge
+3.6 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.92

LowEdge +3.6%
Our model53.7%
The market50.1%

The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Bate Borisov badge

Bate Borisov

Attack47
Defence37
Form27
FC Vitebsk badge

FC Vitebsk

Attack43
Defence64
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +15.0%Correct
Our model63.1%
The market48.1%
Edge
+15.0
Odds
2.08

Draw No Bet

Bate Borisov (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market50.1%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.92

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Our model52.8%
The market53.4%
Edge
-0.6
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Bate Borisov Win

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model31.6%
The market26.6%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
3.76

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model10.1%
The market11.6%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.60

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.1% · actual

1-1

14.7%

0-0

10.8%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.