1. Liga Promotion badge1. Liga Promotion · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Bavois badgeBavoisvsCham badgeCham

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+0.8 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

MediumEdge +0.8%
Our model67.5%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Bavois badge

Bavois

Attack41
Defence48
Form36
Cham badge

Cham

Attack49
Defence63
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model67.5%
The market66.7%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model65.8%
The market69.0%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
1.45

Draw No Bet

Bavois (DNB)

Correct
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Bavois Win

Correct
Our model42.0%
The market51.8%
Edge
-9.8
Odds
1.93

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.3%
The market7.2%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.3%

1-1

7.9%

2-1

7.9%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.