Regionalliga - SudWest badgeRegionalliga - SudWest · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Bayern Alzenau badgeBayern AlzenauvsSGV Freiberg badgeSGV Freiberg

3 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.7%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+13.1 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +13.1%
Our model65.7%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 13.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Bayern Alzenau badge

Bayern Alzenau

Attack46
Defence42
Form36
SGV Freiberg badge

SGV Freiberg

Attack52
Defence70
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.1%Correct
Our model65.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.9%Correct
Our model65.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Bayern Alzenau (DNB)

Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Bayern Alzenau Win

Our model39.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-10.2
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.2%
The market7.1%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
14.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

8.2%

1-2

8.2%

2-1

8.2%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.