Taça de Portugal badgeTaça de Portugal · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Beira-Mar badgeBeira-MarvsUnião Lamas badgeUnião Lamas

3 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.8%
Market said
62.5%
Edge
+0.3 pts
Best odds
1.60

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60

MediumEdge +0.3%
Our model62.8%
The market62.5%

The market underrated this by 0.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Beira-Mar badge

Beira-Mar

Attack33
Defence56
Form44
União Lamas badge

União Lamas

Attack13
Defence75
Form13

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +2.8%Correct
Our model87.5%
The market84.7%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Beira-Mar (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Void
Our model80.0%
The market67.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.49

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.3%Miss
Our model62.8%
The market62.5%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.60

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model53.9%
The market59.5%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.68

Match Winner

Beira-Mar Win

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market51.3%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
1.95

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model23.3%
The market26.7%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
3.74

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

23.3%

0-0

23.6%

2-0

13.5%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.