Beira-Marvs
União Lamas
3 - 3Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.8%
- Market said
- 62.5%
- Edge
- +0.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.60
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60
The market underrated this by 0.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Beira-Mar
União Lamas
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +2.8
- Odds
- 1.18
Draw No Bet
Beira-Mar (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.9
- Odds
- 1.49
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 1.60
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -5.6
- Odds
- 1.68
Match Winner
Beira-Mar Win
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 1.95
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -3.4
- Odds
- 3.74
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
23.3%
0-0
23.6%
2-0
13.5%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.