Ligat Ha'al badgeLigat Ha'al · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Beitar Jerusalem badgeBeitar JerusalemvsHapoel Tel Aviv badgeHapoel Tel Aviv

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
50.5%
Edge
+18.9 pts
Best odds
1.98

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Beitar Jerusalem Win

Match Winner · best price 1.98

MediumEdge +18.9%
Our model69.4%
The market50.5%

The market underrated this by 18.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Beitar Jerusalem badge

Beitar Jerusalem

Attack73
Defence56
Form62
Hapoel Tel Aviv badge

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Attack40
Defence100
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.4%
Our model85.0%
The market80.6%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.24

Match Winner

Beitar Jerusalem Win

Edge +18.9%Miss
Our model69.4%
The market50.5%
Edge
+18.9
Odds
1.98

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.2%Close
Our model68.5%
The market61.3%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
1.63

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model63.1%
The market63.7%
Edge
-0.6
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Beitar Jerusalem (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Void
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model9.4%
The market8.2%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4%

2-0

7.9%

1-0

7.7%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.