Beitar Jerusalemvs
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.8%
- Market said
- 47.6%
- Edge
- +8.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +14.3
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Hapoel Tel Aviv (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.2
- Odds
- 2.10
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -6.4
- Odds
- 1.62
Match Winner
Hapoel Tel Aviv Win
- Edge
- +8.5
- Odds
- 3.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.10
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
9.6%
1-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.