Liga Profesional Argentina · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Belgrano CordobavsIndepend. Rivadavia

2 - 0

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 57.8%
Market said: 37.5%
Edge: +20.3 pts
Best odds: 2.60

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.60

MediumEdge +20.3%

Our model57.8%

The market37.5%

The market underrated this by 20.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Belgrano Cordoba

Attack67

Defence83

Form67

Independ. Rivadavia

Attack87

Defence55

Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct

Our model72.1%

The market73.5%

Edge: -1.4
Odds: 1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +20.3%Close

Our model57.8%

The market37.5%

Edge: +20.3
Odds: 2.60

Draw No Bet

Independ. Rivadavia (DNB)

Miss

Our model55.4%

The market57.1%

Edge: -1.7
Odds: 1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.4%Miss

Our model53.2%

The market44.8%

Edge: +8.4
Odds: 2.10

Match Winner

Independ. Rivadavia Win

Edge +13.4%Miss

Our model41.2%

The market27.8%

Edge: +13.4
Odds: 3.60

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss

Our model9.0%

The market10.3%

Edge: -1.3
Odds: 9.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.0%

1-1

11.3%

2-1

7.5%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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