1. Liga Promotion badge1. Liga Promotion · 18 August 2026AI PICK

Bellinzona badgeBellinzonavsBasel II badgeBasel II

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+1.1 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

LowEdge +1.1%
Our model53.7%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 1.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Bellinzona badge

Bellinzona

Attack15
Defence34
Form0
Basel II badge

Basel II

Attack51
Defence34
Form25

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market71.4%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Basel II (DNB)

Edge +12.6%Correct
Our model69.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model53.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Basel II Win

Correct
Our model49.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.6
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model15.1%
The market17.4%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
5.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.1%

0-2

14.7%

1-1

11.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.