1. Liga Promotion badge1. Liga Promotion · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Bellinzona badgeBellinzonavsBavois badgeBavois

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
72.8%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+9.1 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

High confidenceEdge +9.1%
Our model72.8%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 9.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model74.8%
The market71.4%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.1%Close
Our model72.8%
The market63.7%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +16.7%Miss
Our model70.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+16.7
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Bavois (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Bavois Win

Correct
Our model43.6%
The market57.8%
Edge
-14.2
Odds
1.73

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model9.0%
The market10.3%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.0%

1-1

8.8%

1-3

6.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.