Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals badgeSerie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Benevento badgeBeneventovsArezzo badgeArezzo

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.6%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+13.0 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +13.0%
Our model65.6%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 13.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Benevento badge

Benevento

Attack56
Defence86
Form69
Arezzo badge

Arezzo

Attack53
Defence86
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.0%Miss
Our model65.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
+13.0
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.8%Miss
Our model64.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Benevento Win

Edge +5.2%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Benevento (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model8.7%
The market7.5%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
13.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

8.2%

1-2

7.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.