UEFA Europa League badgeUEFA Europa League · 20 August 2026AI PICK

Benfica badgeBenficavsAarhus badgeAarhus

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
83.2%
Market said
51.6%
Edge
+31.6 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

High confidenceEdge +31.6%
Our model83.2%
The market51.6%

The market underrated this by 31.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Benfica badge

Benfica

Attack96
Defence66
Form58
Aarhus badge

Aarhus

Attack67
Defence48
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +31.6%Correct
Our model83.2%
The market51.6%
Edge
+31.6
Odds
1.91

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model68.3%
The market98.0%
Edge
-29.7
Odds
1.02

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model60.0%
The market73.0%
Edge
-13.0
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Benfica (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.8%
The market93.5%
Edge
-35.7
Odds
1.07

Match Winner

Benfica Win

Correct
Our model43.5%
The market85.5%
Edge
-42.0
Odds
1.17

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.