Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Benfica badgeBenficavsMoreirense badgeMoreirense

4 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.1%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+19.1 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Benfica Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +19.1%
Our model69.1%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 19.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Benfica badge

Benfica

Attack74
Defence78
Form73
Moreirense badge

Moreirense

Attack30
Defence60
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market90.9%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
1.10

Match Winner

Benfica Win

Edge +19.1%Correct
Our model69.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+19.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Benfica (DNB)

Edge +8.9%Correct
Our model66.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model56.9%
The market69.4%
Edge
-12.5
Odds
1.44

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model50.7%
The market47.6%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
2.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.