Primeira Liga · 11 May 2026AI PICK
Benficavs
SC Braga
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 72.3%
- Market said
- 61.7%
- Edge
- +10.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.62
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62
The market underrated this by 10.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Benfica
SC Braga
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 1.18
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.6
- Odds
- 1.62
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +12.1
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Benfica Win
- Edge
- +13.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Benfica (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.71
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1% · actual
1-1
6.8%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.