Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 18 July 2026AI PICK

Benjamín Aceval badgeBenjamín AcevalvsResistencia badgeResistencia

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+7.0 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +7.0%
Our model55.8%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 7.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Benjamín Aceval badge

Benjamín Aceval

Attack65
Defence70
Form67
Resistencia badge

Resistencia

Attack44
Defence51
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market85.5%
Edge
-11.3
Odds
1.17

Draw No Bet

Benjamín Aceval (DNB)

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model57.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.0%Close
Our model55.8%
The market48.8%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model55.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Benjamín Aceval Win

Correct
Our model41.6%
The market57.8%
Edge
-16.2
Odds
1.73

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.9%
The market11.4%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.9%

1-1

11.8%

2-0

9.0% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.